The Nairobi Climate Adaptation & Resilience Plan (NCARP) seeks to address the challenges of building investment flow – in one of Africa’s biggest and most systemically important cities – that address the increasingly substantial impacts of climate change on lives and livelihoods. As part of the first phase (Phase I) of NCARP, FSD Africa seeks to contract a firm or consortia (hereafter referred to as the “Consultant”) to establish the initial climate risk and cost of inaction modelling that will inform the development of the NCARP platform, enable the definition of a pipeline of projects, allow for counterfactual & scenario-based analysis, and enable the Nairobi City County Government (NCCG) to inform their programming beyond the scope of this work. NCARP is a frontier initiative for future activity in FSD Africa’s mission to accelerate the development of adaptation financing in Sub-Saharan Africa. The Consultant will be an important voice in driving our joint ambition with the Nairobi City County Government (NCCG) to attract private capital to socially impactful solutions; there is therefore great importance in the Consultant to develop fit-for-purpose, accessible and adjustable tools, that deliver continued insights to support the roll out of NCARP and support it in achieving its objectives. This engagement is expected to run from October 2025 to March 2026 (although NCARP Phase I will run longer – to December 2026 – and build on the work in these Terms of Reference).