Country: Nigeria

Five reasons why capital markets matter in Africa

The significance of developing domestic capital markets as a means of financing priority sectors and driving economic development is increasingly being acknowledged by policy makers in Africa.

For instance, the African Union (AU), Agenda 2063, prioritises the development of capital markets on the continent to strengthen domestic resource mobilisation and double its contribution to development financing. Similar support is found in several national visions including Nigeria (FSS2020)Zambia (Vision 2030)Rwanda (Vision 2020)Uganda (Vision 2040) and Kenya (Vision 2030). About US$1 trillion in assets are currently held by pension, insurance and collective investment vehicles across sub-Saharan Africa. These funds have a serious problem finding enough investments that meet their risk and return requirements – there just isn’t enough “product” for them.  It means that there are projects today – e.g. in infrastructure – that are not getting financed. But this also has implications for the long-term ability of pension funds to produce adequate incomes for pensioners.

While central to facilitating SSA economic development, there has been little focus on understanding precisely why capital markets matter in Africa.

So why does Africa need capital markets? This article identifies five reason reasons:

  1. Providing long-term financing for priority sectors

Africa faces huge long-term financing needs for the real and social sectors.  FSD Africa (FSDA) estimates the funding gap for SMEs, infrastructure, housingness at over US$300 billion per year. The World Bank estimates that Africa’s infrastructure deficit reduces per capita GDP growth by 2 percentage points each year, delaying poverty reduction efforts. Equally, the Centre for Affordable Housing in Africa, estimates a housing deficit of at least 25 million units in Nigeria, Kenya, Angola, Ethiopia, Cameroon and Cote d’Ivoire. Local currency capital markets can contribute to narrowing the financing gap across these sectors. Capital markets provide long-term funds to growing businesses, infrastructure and housing. Capital markets can also support the financing of social sectors, including health and education.

  1. Complementing reductions in concessional funding

About half of the countries in sub-Sahara Africa are classified as middle income according to the World Bank. In the last decade, 10 countries in sub-Saharan Africa including Kenya, Nigeria, Ghana and Zambia, have joined this middle-income rank. This implies that these countries will gradually be weaned off the World Bank Group’s concessional lending window, International Development Association (IDA). In addition, they can expect to receive less concessional funding from bilateral donors. This implies that many of these countries will need to access commercial funding sources. The Eurobond market, one of such sources, exposes countries to significant foreign currency risk, because these bonds are denominated in hard currencies, leading to higher chances of defaulting on this debt. Local currency capital markets can ideally complement external funding to meet developmental challenges.

  1. Financing global challenges

According to the African Development Bank (AfDB), the share of Africans living in urban areas is set to rise from 36% in 2010 to 50% by 2030. Urbanisation at this rate can cause significant stress to infrastructure, social services and proliferation of slums. According to the United Nations Environmental Program (UNEP), Africa is projected to bear the greatest impact of climate change with the costs of adaption being estimated between 5-10% of GDP. Capital markets can contribute to financing of climate change investments through green bonds. Capital markets can also support urban development by financing urban infrastructure and housing projects. Capital markets instruments including Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITS), incorporating so-called Social REITS, can support affordable housing finance.

  1. Managing foreign currency and re-financing risks

The income streams associated with key infrastructure and housing investments are often denominated in local currency. By funding these investments in long-term local currency instruments, governments and the private sector avoid foreign exchange and refinancing risks. The Asian financial crisis in the 1990s and the crisis in Latin America in the 1980s powerfully demonstrated the importance of developing local currency markets. In Asia, overexposure to foreign currency loans led to economic collapse in several countries. On the other hand, refinancing risk arises where short-term debt is used to fund long-term projects. Failure to roll over this debt in the short term can lead to high financing costs and potentially defaults. Numerous examples exist where this has resulted in collapsed companies and job losses.

  1. Diversifying the financial sector

The financial sector in Africa is relatively small and bank-dominated. There have been significant advances in the banking sector over the last decade with increasing access to previously excluded populations, especially using mobile technology. However, the banking sector remains characterised by high interest rate margins and high returns on equity and assets. This implies that the sector is not playing its intermediation role effectively. By developing capital markets, countries can facilitate the diversification of the financial sector, providing a useful complement to the banking sector (at times competing with the banking sector, at other times encouraging it, e.g. through risk sharing instruments, to play a bigger role in new areas) and providing the public and private sectors access to long-term financing which is so hard to come by in SSA.  Capital markets can also help create new kinds of institutions through equity investment, tus broadening the sources of supply of finance.

As a strategic response, FSDA aims to transform capital markets in Africa into a credible source of funding for the real and social sectors. The priorities over the next five years include the bond markets (both government and non-government), alternative finance (including fintech and crowd funding, REITs and Islamic Finance), and equity (public and private) market development. Support for non-government bonds will focus on green bonds and issues in both the real and social sectors.

FSDA will leverage technical assistance interventions on the regulatory front with transactions support, aimed at developing a pipeline of potential issuers, and catalytic investments through development capital (DevCap). FSDA also aims to build the information base around long term finance – databases currently are scarce and incomplete – and will work closely with institutional investors to build their capacity to invest in the newer asset classes. FSDA will actively forge perships to implement its long-term finance agenda.,

Getting ready for take-off?

What needs to be done to get Executive Coaching operating effectively in Nigeria? And why does this matter?

The executive and business coaching market in Nigeria can best be described as ‘nascent’, according to research conducted by Creative
Metier
 on behalf of FSD Africa on ‘Building the Market for Executive Coaching in Nigeria.’ It is estimated that there are only between 10 and 20 credible, accredited and experienced executive coaches in the country – for a population of about 174 million people. There is also no locally available coach training course that offers a route to internationally recognised accreditation. The Nigerian market includes both accredited and non-accredited coaches, but with an emphasis on life and spiritual coaching. From the research, “there are coaches coaching in the corporate space but they are life coaches…, so companies are not seeing the impact of coaching on the business side.”

Low coaching supply is also compounded by low levels of demand; with low levels of understanding the link between coaching and business results alluded to above. One coach interviewed in the study stated that, “there is confusion in understanding the three terms: coaching, mentoring and consulting.”

Business leaders also expect coaches to have knowledge appropriate to the industries where executives are being coached, as well as a strong track record and ‘gravitas’, on top of their coaching skills. A banking HR Director stated that acceptance of a coach would entail, “how successful you have been in what you have done? If the coach cannot impress me, I’ll be switched off.”

Harvard Business Review (HBR) survey on coaching looked into the question of value and concluded that value is provided to both Executives and businesses – “As the business environment becomes more complex, [leaders] will increasingly turn to coaches for help in understanding how to act. The kind of coaches I am talking about will do more than influence behaviors; they will be an essential part of the leader’s learning process, providing knowledge, opinions, and judgment in critical areas. However, the study also cautions – A big problem that tomorrow’s professional coaching firm must resolve is the difficulty of measuring performance….”

A further study by Price Waterhouse Coopers (PWC) listed the following benefits from Executive Coaching:

  • 80% of coaching clients report a positive change in work performance, communication skills, interpersonal skills, and relationships
  • 7% of coaching clients report “very satisfied
  • 2% say they would repeat it under same circumstances
  • Individual clients have seen a median return of 3.44 times the investment.

Lack of information in the Nigerian market is the largest current barrier to the industry’s growth. This information gap can be readily addressed by:

  • Education on what coaching is, how it differs from other capacity building leadership initiatives, and what it is not;
  • Information on accredited coaches in the market and minimum accreditation requirements;
  • Information on the business case for coaching and evidence of its impact.

FSD Africa believes that coaching in Nigeria could be poised for take-off, although effective demand is currently low, there is an appreciation amongst market participants that coaching is an enabler of business success, and resolving these informational gaps will serve to catalyse the markets’ growth.

Building trust – why banking needs to be more personal

In Edelman’s annual study on levels of trust in industries, the Financial Services industry once again came bottom, as they have done for the last 5 years. Although the industry has been recovering from its lows in the early 2010s, only 51% of people have trust in the sector. To put that in perspective, 9% of people have more trust in the Telecommunications industry and a whopping 23% have more trust in Technology companies (who have come top the last 5 years).

This “trust gap” exists all over the world and I was reminded of it on a recent visit to Nigeria. There, as part of one of our partners product launch, I met a lady who told me that she had recently signed up to one of the banks’ new services. When asked why, she said that on three previous occasions she had trusted a local Susu[1], who had then run-off with her savings. To be clear, the “trust gap” is not only an issue for women; many men face similar issues when dealing with formal financial institutions.

That is the heart of the problem. Financial management is difficult and we often entrust our hard earned cash to someone who, we hope, has our best interest at heart. But the world is full of people whose trust has been abused on financial matters. Almost everyone knows someone who was affected by the failure of a bank, defrauded by business associate (like that Susu) or trusted the wrong family member.

In this “low-trust” environment, financial institutions are increasingly battling these stories, as well as a lack of trust in the services they offer. Nowhere is this more evident than in the continued exclusion of women from financial services in developing countries. Despite being 40% of the world’s workforce, across the world, women owned businesses are experiencing a funding gap of $260billion to $320billion per year.

This is striking and becomes even more surprising when one understands that women are better at repaying loans. Not only that, they use money more productively and use financial services more frequently. This makes women profitable and, because of the high exclusion rates, a key target demographic to expand a client base.

Nevertheless, bringing women on board is not a top priority for many CEOs in the financial space. There is a catch; women, who are much more cautious when it comes to adoption of new products, are harder to gain as clients in the first place. In our work with Women’s World Banking and Diamond Bank in Nigeria we endeavour to increase the number of female clients by changing incentive structures for on-boarding agents, employ more female agents for outreach and designing products specifically targeting women.

Although we have brought on board many new clients of both genders, women are a smaller percentage than we would like (below 50%). Which takes us back to the issue of trust. The lady in Nigeria, had to be cheated out of her money three times before she considered approaching a formal financial service provide. That tells us that the level of mistrust of formal financial institutions is much higher than we want to admit.

Organisations such as FSD Africa, whose core mission is to develop financial markets that are responsive to the broader developmental needs of African economies and peopleneed to find better ways to reaching women and young people who are disproportionately excluded from financial services.

Our work with Women’s World Banking and our partner institutions Diamond Bank (Nigeria) and NMB (Tanzania) is to develop new products that seek to target these groups. One of the key learnings from our work is that products need to be well communicated to the target group and this often takes time. That is why Diamond Bank’s Agent Network in Nigeria has developed specific pitches for potential female clients. These go beyond a generic sales script, which is usually sufficient to bring on board male clients. The agents are educated on how to build trust with the customer and demonstrate that access to financial services gives them better security, improves their record-keeping and gives them greater financial control.

There are a number of other factors that limit women’s financial access. For example, many African countries remain highly patriarchal and women are less likely to be literate than men. Changing these attitudes takes time but ultimately, developing women’s ability to use savings and credit products will foster greater financial independence and increase gender equality.

Overcoming the “trust gap” is hard and that is why FSD Africa seeks to create long-term financial market impact, for both men and women. We understand that increasing financial inclusion is not just about the individual customer – our Change Management interventions seek to revolutionise the way financial institutions see and interact with their potential clients.

The “trust gap” exists for both men and women and relates to almost all Financial Service Providers. Consequently, FSD Africa is always looking for new partners that share their view on developing financial systems across the continent. If you or your institution are interested in building out services, as our partners have done, please reach out to us. FSD Africa will be speaking at the MasterCard Foundation Event in Kigali on the 20th and 21st of October 2016.

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[1] Informal savings channel in West Africa, usually operated by one person for a number of market traders).

A review of some of Africa’s housing finance markets

Overview

Across Africa, the residential investment opportunity is increasingly driving conversations about economic growth. While the definition of who is middle class and how many such households there are continue, the fact of Africa’s rising population and rapid urbanisation is palpable in its cities where the inadequate housing conditions of the majority are obvious.

For every problem, there is an opportunity for a solution, and in increasingly creative ways, this is what Africa’s housing investors are finding.

Most investment funds currently active were initiated when the African growth trajectory was on an upward curve. The past year has been challenging, however. Still among the fastest growing continents, Africa has seen its growth and development prospects seriously challenged by global economic pressures, the commodities downturn and the slowing Chinese economy. Where the prospects of oil and gas discoveries dominated the news five years ago, in 2016 it is their loss in value ng governments reconsider their economic development strategies. The key challenge in this environment, is economic diversification. Can housing contribute towards that opportunity?

Governments can contribute significantly to a developer’s ability to deliver affordable housing at scale, by paying attention to the rough spots along the housing value chain: the availability of land, its servicing (especially water and electricity), and its registration;
the availability of domestic building materials and a functioning construction sector; the time it takes to get administrative approvals for the building process, and the cost of such approvals; the taxation, finance and macro-economic framework; and the functioning of the labour market, among so many other factors.

Read full report from”http://housingfinanceafrica.org”>CAHF here.,

Harbingers of doom? bank failures in Africa – how to interpret these

Yesterday, Zambia’s central bank announced it had taken over a commercial bank, Intermarket, after the latter failed to come up with the capital it needed to satisfy new minimum capital requirements. Three weeks ago, a Mozambican bank – Nosso Banco – had its licence cancelled, less than two months after another Mozambican bank, Moza Banco, was placed under emergency administration.

At the end of October, the Bank of Tanzania stepped in to replace the management at Twiga Bancorp, a government-owned financial institution which was reported to have negative capital of TSh21 billion.  A week before that, just over the border in Uganda, Crane Bank, with its estimated 500,000 customers, was taken over by the central bank, having become “seriously undercapitalised”. In DR Congo, the long-running saga of BIAC, the country’s third largest bank, continued in 2016, forced to limit cash withdrawals after the termination of a credit line from the central bank. And in Kenya, Chase Bank collapsed in April, bars after the failure of Imperial.

How are we to interpret this? It seems that 2016 is the year in which latent fragility in Africa’s banking sectors is being laid bare.  After years in which observers have favourably contrasted the relative stability of African banking with the financial sector chaos in Europe and the US, it seems that three critical perils – mismanagement, political interference and economic woes – are conspiring to transform the landscape of African banking into a decidedly treacherous place for depositors and investors.

We have had remarkably few bank failures in Africa in recent years and yet this sudden uptick in stories like Crane and Chase, against a backdrop of economic challenges in many places, raises the question as to whether there is worse to come.

Mismanagement and/or political interference have been at the root of most bank collapses over the past few decades. Martin Brownbridge’s grimly fascinating analysi”https://fsdafrica.org/knowledge-hub/blog/harbingers-of-doom-bank-failures-in-africa-how-to-interpret-these/#_ftn1″ name=”_ftnref1″>[1] on this subject from 1998 concluded that “moral hazard, with the adoption of high-risk lending strategies, in some cases involving insider lending” was behind most of the bank collapses in the 1990s. This certainly resonates today. Catastrophic lapses in governance rather than economic malaise are alleged to be behind the recent Kenyan bank failures (although their shareholders and directors vigorously refute this) – but how else can you explain why a small number of banks fail when the sector as a whole has been returning well over 20% on its equity for the past several years?

There are some excellent programmes like “http://www.centerforfinancialinclusion.org/programs-a-projects/abf” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener”>Accions’s Africa Board Fellowship Program, which aims to strengthen capacity at financial institutions because their promoters understand that weak governance undermines trust in the financial system and is therefore very bad for financial inclusion. But it is one thing to know what you’re supposed to do as a bank board director – quite another to actually do it.

Each bank failure seems to have its own special story – and we derive comfort from this. It is somehow reassuring to think that that might be the case because the prospect of a system-wide failure is so awful.

And each country context has particular features that impinge on the stability of the financial system. There are deep concerns in Kenya, for example, that the recent imposition of interest rate caps is going to result in a very messy period of bank failures and/or consolidation.

But are there common patterns that we should be taking note of?  Is there a system-wide issue that we should be facing up to?

Well, one pattern might be positive – that central banks are intervening more, and more quickly, to weed out the miscreants, less cowed by the politicians than they might have been in the past and more concerned to protect their well-earned professional reputations. Another is that central banks are finally implementing the increases in minimum capital requirements which many have been talking about for years with the inevitable intended consequence that some banks will be forced to get out of the market.

These might be two good reasons why we are seeing more collapses. You could say that’s excellent news for the future of African banking. But perhaps only to a point. There is still the risk that the cumulative effect of bank failures as a result of zealous supervisory action causes a loss of faith in the entire system resulting in mass panic and the withdrawal of deposits and credit lines.

Also, the inevitable result of this would be fewer, bigger banks which may have negative consequences for competition and access – altht worth pointing out that Tanzania, which has 55 commercial banks, still only manages to bank around 12% of its adult population (FinScope).

The more concerning issue is the impact of underlying economic weakness. Leaving aside the paradox that some of these bank failures are taking place in economies that are growing quite fast (Kenya and Tanzania forecasting 6-7% GDP growth), lower commodity prices and their pervasive impact across African economies are going to make life much tougher for banks – especially if they are poorly managed and have political skeletons in their cupboards.

One problem we have, especially when economic conditions are changing fast and for the worse (as in Mozambique), is that data is often out of date and is not sufficiently disaggregated. So, when we look at Africa as a whole, or even the banking system of one country as a whole, the averages we tend to look at create a blithely benign picture which masks dramatic variations.

So, non-performing loans (NPLs) across Africa up to014 were a little over 5% but NPLs in Ghana were more like 11-12%. NPLs in Tanzania are currently a little over 8%, yet Twiga Bancorp’s NPL’s were – unbelievably – at 34% in early 2015, according to media reports.

We think the African banking sector is in for a rocky ride in 2017 and 2018 and, in the short term, this is not good news for the real economy. However, one industry that is set to grow, surely, is central banking supervision.

“https://fsdafrica.org/knowledge-hub/blog/harbingers-of-doom-bank-failures-in-africa-how-to-interpret-these/#_ftnref1” name=”_ftn1″>[1] Brownbridge, M (1998): “Financial distress in local banks in Kenya, Nigeria, Uganda and Zambia: Causes and implications for regulatory policy” Development Policy Review, vol. 16, no.

Crowdfunding in motion: seven things we learned about P2P markets in East Africa

Less than a month ago, on 15 June 2016, the crowdfunding industry in East Africa came together for the first time in Nairobi. This East African Crowdfunding Indaba & Marketplace was co-hosted by FSD Africa and the Kenya Capital Markets Authority, and attended by 65 representative from across the crowdfunding industry in Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda.

But, what did we learn? We boil it down to seven key points:

  • East African crowdfunding markets are on the move. Crowdfunding markets in East Africa remain nascent, but are growing. According to forthcoming research by Allied Crowds and FSD Africa, crowdfunding platforms (donation, rewards, debt and equity) raised $37.2 million in 2015 in Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda. By the end of Q1 2016, this figure reached $17.8 million – a 170% year-on-year increase. Today, there are no platforms located in Tanzania, 1 in Rwanda, 1 in Uganda, 3 in Kenya, 10 in South Africa, with a further 55 located beyond these countries, but doing business within them. Ths platform landscaping report is scheduled for publication in July 2016.
  • East Africa’s platforms report promising progress. Since its launch in September 2012, M-Changa has raised $900,000 through 46,000 donations to 6,129 fundraisers. Popular uses of M-Changa donations include: medical expenses (24%), business activities (24%), education expenses (12%), and funeral expenses (7%). The platform also reports 100% year-on-year growth rates. Since the launch of its pilot phase in December 2015, Pesa Zetu has dispersed c.1,200 loans via mobile phones to low income Kenyans – of loan sizes between $20 and $100 – to test its credit models, processes and technology platform. So far, Pesa Zetu has dispersed c.$59,275 in total. Scale-up in Kenya is planned for Q4 2016. Since its inception in March 2015, LelapaFund has screened over 350 SMEs in East Africa and beyond, and engaged over 30 in due diligence and investment readiness processes in Kenya. Pending regulatory approval, it hopes to open access to its first deals on the platform in 2016. During the event, each platform reported regional ambitions.
  • Global crowdfunding markets are growing fast but also evolving. According to primary and secondary research by CGAP, the finance raised by crowdfunding platforms worldwide increased from $2.7 billion in 2012 to an estimated $34 billion in 2015. This figure is expected to reach $96 billion by 2025 in developing countries alone. Today, there are approximately 1,250 active platforms globally. They typically fall into four typologies (donation, rewards, debt and equity), but hybrids are fast emerging. In the UK, up to 40% of the capital raised by P2P platforms is institutional in its origin.
  • East Africa’s MSMEs express a demand for alternative finance, but they’re not always investment-ready or able to locate financiers. According to LelapaFund research, c.45% of Kenyan start-ups sampled require between $10,000 and $50,000 growth capital, while c.40% require between $50,000 and $250,000 for expansion/export (22%), marketing (23%) and product development (29%). For Kenyan SMEs, c.50% of firms sampled require between $100,000 to $500,000 for expansion/export (40%), marketing (21%) and product development (29%). Both start-ups and SMEs received more capital from friends and family than banks. Vava Coffee reported difficulties locating and accessing sources of non-bank finance, especially as a female entrepreneur. The firm also highlighted the importance of data and evidence when raising finance because it demonstrates a track record. LelapaFund has committed significant resources to identify investment-ready SMEs for its platform. Of 350 Kenyan SMEs screened, less than 10% proceeded to due diligence phase. Financial literacy training for SMEs, low cost due diligence models, improved signposting of SMEs to sources of investment and the use of Company Registry data were suggested as means to address a lack of investment-ready SMEs in the region.
  • There are both commercial and development opportunities for crowdfunding platforms in East Africa. Through their use of technology, crowdfunding platforms have the potential to mobilise and allocate capital more cheaply and quickly than the banking industry and development agencies. This could lead to the disintermediation of both through increased efficiency and competition, as well as increased access to finance for low income individuals and growing companies. Where mobile phone technology is currently used to provide micro-savings and micro-credit in East Africa, interest rate spreads remain significant – c.3% p.a. for saving, and c.90% p.a. to lend. This presents a market opportunity, particularly for P2P debt finance platforms.
  • Crowdfunding risks and the regulatory environment. Globally, many crowdfunding markets are not yet regulated. The unique nature of crowdfunding models means that they straddle traditional payments, banking and securities laws. In jurisdictions where financial industry regulators are not consolidated into a single unified authority, platforms may also straddle regulating departments. In some countries, such as the New Zealand, the United Kingdom (UK), and the United States, crowdfunding is subject to special tailored regimes. In the UK, for example, the Financial Conduct Authority has developed a Regulatory Sandbox, which provides a safe space for innovative firms to test products and services with real consumers in a real environment, without incurring all of the normal regulatory consequences of engaging in this activity. In East Africa, there is no specific regime for crowdfunding regulation. Instead, sections of existing banking and securities legislation are used, but are open to interpretation. However, there is evidence of innovation. In Kenya, for example, Section 12A‪ of the Capital Markets Act provides a safe space for innovations to grow before being subject to the full regulatory regime. During the event, the Kenya Capital Markets AuthorityRwanda Capital Markets AuthorityUganda Capital Markets Authority, and CGAP’s consumer protection specialist expressed cautious optimism about the future of crowdfunding markets in East Africa, noting particularly risks around: inexperienced borrowers and investors, digital fraud, data protection and non-performing loans/investments.
  • There’s appetite to do business and to learn more from across East Africa. A total of 65 participants attended the Indaba & Marketplace from all corners of the East African market: a) supply-side (crowdfunding platforms, impact investors and micro-finance institutions such as Pesa ZetuM-ChangaLelapaFundNovastar VenturesLetshego Holdings), b) demand-side (SMEs and consumer protection specialists such as Vava CoffeeEcoZoomBurn), c) business service providers (data analytics firms, law firms, market intelligence firms and technology providers such as Anjarwalla & KhannaIBMZege TechnologiesAllied CrowdsDigital Data DivideOpen Capital AdvisorsGenesis AnalyticsIntellecap), d) rule-makers (regulators and policy makers such as the Kenya Capital Markets AuthorityRwanda Capital Markets AuthorityUganda Capital Markets AuthorityUK Financial Conduct Authority), and e) donor agencies (market facilitators, think tanks and aid agencies such as Access to Finance RwandaCGAP,  FSD KenyaFSD TanzaniaFSD UgandaUN Women).

So, what’s next?

First of all, for more facts and figures, please find all the presentations delivered during the crowdfunding indaba and marketplace here.

Second, we’re keen to move beyond discussion towards new partnerships and deal-making. With this in mind, please find a full list of participants here. If you’d like specific contact details then email Fundi Ngundi (fundi@fsdafrica.org), who will ask permission from the counterpart before connecting you.

Third, through partnership, FSD Africa will continue to support the development of crowdfunding markets in East Africa. The Allied Crowds platform landscaping research is scheduled for publication in July 2016. A regulator support exercise has been launched and will conclude in September 2016. It will be led by Anjarwalla & Khanna and the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance. Where beneficial to the poor and the wider crowdfunding market, FSD Africa will also provide light touch support to platforms themselves. If there’s demand, there could be scope for a follow-up Indaba and Marketplace in early 2017. If you’d like to collaborate then please be in touch.

Lastly, thank you to all the speakers, panelists, facilitators and participants for your lively contributions last week. Albeit steadily, crowdfunding markets are on the move in East Africa!

The growth of micro-insurance: expanding financial inclusion

Access to insurance across sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is still very low and estimated to cover only around 5.4% of the population (approx. 61.9m people)[1]. Most of this coverage is represented by life insurance products, the penetration of which still pales in comparison to most developed markets. In these markets, insurance products are part of the financial landscape and are more of an expectation rather than the exception. However, attitudes of insurers in SSA are changing. Financial Sector Deepening Africa’s (FSDA) work with the International Labour Organisation (ILO) has shown that insurers across the continent are looking to serve the market on a larger scale and through new channels.

Financial Inclusion has come a long way. Not long ago, the widespread definition of what it means to be “included” would only focus on access to a bank account. Thankfully, that notion has changed. A broader definition of the term has led to the development of many more services and ways to help lift the poor out of poverty – mobile money being the most prominent example.

Over the years, donor organisations (and market players) have understood that bank accounts are not enough to replace the abundance of products currently being used by people at the bottom of the pyramid. An in-depth look at the financial choices made by Kenyans in 2014 showed that the average household uses 14 different financial products.[2] Basically, the majority of people who have informal jobs are constantly juggling financial products, just to get by. About half of the respondents surveyed had an insurance product (directly or through welfare groups). However, effective use of formal insurance was low.

Improving and expanding insurance products for the poor

FSDA is in partnership with the ILO to expand microinsurance penetration in SSA thus helping poor people protect themselves against economic shocks. The FSDA funded project is looking to develop and grow new and existing microinsurance products across SSA[3], focused on the needs of the customer at or near the bottom of the pyramid. Together with the ILO’s Impact Insurance Facility, FSDA will work with five insurers and/or distributors in four countries – Kenya, Nigeria, Cote d’Ivoire and Ethiopia. The project will provide an inclusive financial service to more than one million low income people and micro, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) who will gain access to insurance products that protect them from life’s surprises.

Creating relevant microinsurance products

Most of the continent’s large insurers are bureaucratic and focus on standard general and life insurance products. Not only are these products unaffordable to the bottom of the pyramid, but most people do not qualify for the products as they usually require formal employment. In a context where informal employment is estimated to be between 60% and 80% across Sub-Saharan Africa, this excludes a large part of the population.

Change Management

Insurance organisations need to change people, systems and processes of how they approach the SSA market. Ultimately, there is work to be done to help move these insurance companies & distributors from providing an exclusive product to becoming an inclusive provider. FSDA’s project will involve supporting consultants to work within the selected insurance institutions for three years to help them manage the change from within. These consultants will work to deliver and develop services that are designed to help insurers expand their reach and become both profitable and highly scalable.

Partner Selection

Insurance is an important part of financial inclusion as it helps people to prosper and mitigate risk necessary to grow productive businesses. To ensure that capable and willing partners were found to drive this market-wide change of the insurance market, FSDA opened applications to insurance companies across the continent who are looking to change their target market to include the financially underserved. The application process was open from December 2015 to mid-January 2016 and attracted over 32 proposals from East, West, and Southern Africa. The number and quality of these applications show that the Sub-Saharan insurance industry is ready for a paradigm shift in their approach to microinsurance.

Mobile channels are boosting product access

Majority of applicants for the funding wanted to build on the rapidly growing mobile channel in all of their respective markets. The increasing presence and growth of the mobile channel has helped to boost inclusion of access to financial services.

Insurers are recognising the different needs of their markets. However, regional differences remain and reflect the level of development of the existing insurance market. For example, many proposals from West Africa, a much more nascent insurance market, focused on providing the simpler products, such as health or life insurance. By contrast, in East Africa, insurance was focused on complex products, such as weather-based index insurance or insurance for small and medium enterprises.

The insurance space in Africa is rapidly evolving and FSDA’s role will be to guide motivated and committed insurers to make the changes necessary to grow their footprint in the underserved market.

[1] The Landscape of Microinsurance Africa 2015 Preliminary Briefing Note by Microinsurance Network.

[2] Kenya Financial Diaries; August 2014

[3] Kenya Financial Diaries; August 2014

Measuring financial market facilitation: why the theory of change is king

This is the second of a four-part serialisation of the full Impact Oriented Measurement (IOM) guidance paper.

In the first serialisation, the principle objectives of IOM and the background to its development was provided. The first, second and third chapters were also discussed.

This second serialisation (Chapter 4 of the full IOM guidance paper) draws attention to the Theory of Change (ToC), a critical tool in the IOM system.

In particular, this Chapter:

  • Discusses the definitions of, purposes of and relationships between ToCs, results chains and logframes. It clearly explains what each of these tools are, what they are for and how they can be best developed for market facilitation programmes. It also demonstrates how project-level results chains should ‘nest’ within programme-level ToCs. In doing so, this Chapter helps to de-mystify the application of these tools within a programme’s overall approach to IOM.
  • Discusses the identification of impact measurement questions. The Chapter shows that ToCs and results chains help to identify impact measurement questions. It states that: “taking time to think carefully about impact measurement questions…will help focus both measurement and research activities.” This begins the process of monitoring through indicator selection and data collection.
  • Introduces ‘bottom-up’ and ‘top-down’ measurement. Readers learn that ‘bottom-up’ measurement involves the monitoring of the impact of individual interventions, while ‘top -down’ measurement involves the monitoring of financial market performance and socio-economic landscape (including poverty levels) as a whole. By triangulating evidence from the two, it is possible to more clearly discern/attribute the combined impact of a market facilitator’s interventions.

In the next installment – the third of the four-part serialisation – IOM will explore how to measure changes (including systemic changes at the market-level) resulting from FSD interventions and how to determine the causes of such changes.

Impact orientated measurement: monitoring and results measurement for financial market facilitation

In July 2014, FSD Africa began an FSD network-wide consultative process to improve monitoring and results measurement (MRM) for financial market facilitation.

Its specific objectives were two-fold: a) to strengthen MRM processes within individual FSDs at the project and programme level, and b) to develop a more consistent approach to MRM across the FSD network.

Through their participation and with the support of specialists from Oxford Policy Management (OPM) and the Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP), DFID and the Donor Committee for Enterprise Development (DCED), FSDs explored key MRM issues together. Topics included, for example:

  • Developing a common terminology for MRM work to avoid confusion within an FSD and with key partners (especially donors) and achieve consensus more quickly
  • Consolidating a rich, sometime complex portfolio of FSD project work into a single MRM framework that is coherent and measurable
  • Determining the core components (measurement tools, processes, indicators and management) of an MRM system to enable an FSD to quickly develop an approach that is well-understood, practical and which provides evidence in a timely, useful manner
  • Better defining and measuring change in financial market systems (that is both expected and unexpected) to help prove and improve an FSD’s market facilitation approach
  • Determining an FSD network impact research agenda to create a better understanding of the causal relationships between certain kinds of financial sector interventions and the impact they are intended to generate

The result of this extensive consultation is the Impact Oriented Measurement framework, or IOM.

IOM is a comprehensive resource that helps FSDs, or FSD-like organisations, manage the challenge of measuring their contribution to changes in the market systems they seek to influence.  IOM offers guidance, not a prescription.

There is a high degree of consensus built-in to the model, which is informed by practical insights derived from FSD practice over a decade or more, but also OPM, CGAP, DFID and DCED.